Make the best of time to enjoy, taking the advantage of artificial intelligence still loses in certain domain now at the mankind. Recently, an investigation that is aimed at expert of many 350 artificial intelligence shows, Inside 45 years of future, artificial intelligence has the probability of 50% to surmount the mankind in the round in all trades and professions.
According to estimation, to 2024, machine translation will surpass artificial interpreter; 2026, AI can finish an outstanding high school composition; 2027, AI can drive automatically a lorry; 2031, AI is garrisoned in the round retail trade; 2049, the author of best seller will not be the mankind, and arrived 2053, surgeon will unemployed, the operation will be finished by AI. In fact, all sufferring the person that visit thinks, future mies wife 120 years all kind of jobs will implement automation.
This second investigation is undertaken by Oxford and Yale combination, invited in artificial intelligence two big are met 2015 NIPS (Neural Information Processing Systems) reach ICML (International Conference On Machine Learning) the AI that has published a paper researcher, in all 352 people participate in this investigation.
The Katja Grace of mechanical information institute says California city Berkeley: "This findings has far-reaching social sense. For example, how will the teacher differentiate after is a composition him student after all is those who finish still generate by AI? How will the teacher differentiate after is a composition him student after all is those who finish still generate by AI??
These social issues are very complex, but at least we still have an opportunity to handle them. Although media often exaggerates,propagandist AI is opposite the danger of human society, but researcher thinks, Artificial intelligence can develop ceaselessly, but only the probability of 5 ％ can bring about the mankind to eradicate.
Current, in many domains, artificial intelligence has surmounted the mankind. AlphaGo, this comes from the AI of Google DeepMind, just conquer Ke Jie of the mankind's fiercest go chess player. And in other systems, AI still can understand lip-language better than professional personage, or it is to help a police station choose data. However, show level these AI can dedicated at a particular job.
England thanks the Eleni Vasilaki of university of phenanthrene Er heart to say: "A large number of evidence make clear, The machine can be in complex and the mankind is surmounted in particular job. But at present delicacy has evidence to show, human nature is changed and muti_function artificial intelligence is about to appear "
Additional, findings shows, the qualifications and record of service of researcher is forecasted with what what they do between do not have connection, but of different state district sufferred the person that visit to appear really apparent difference. Forecast according to the researcher of Asian area, AI surmounts the mankind to won't be expended too long, it is 30 years probably, and the expert of North America area thinks this number is 74 years. The Leslie Willcocks of London economy and political institute says: "Because different working culture affected the technical viewpoint of people,this may be.
And can seek hegemony next to AI which game, the Georgios Yannakakis of Malta university says: "They (AI researcher) forecast, Inside 6 years AI will be in interstellar contend for hegemony conquer mankind, the game that distributes to all Atari needs 9 years. ..
In addition, the problem of this investigation is centered in intellective and cognitive respect for the most part, apply to the job that already had specific definition. And Yannakakis thinks, intellective additionally one part (affection is for instance intellective) was to surmount specific knowledge, if AI is in,be the film when behave more exceedingly goodly than the mankind, this will be more interesting.